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Game logs through Oct 26, 2026 · 162 players

Lamar Jackson QB

BAL vs BUF ·

1.5 Pass TDs O -112U -113
Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 60%6/10 Odds imply 49.9% Over
Season avg
1.5
Graph avg
1.8
Graph median
2.00–4
Over the close
33%3/9
2026 per game
Pass Yds241.8â–²+45.7
Att24.0â–²+0.8
Cmp%70.8%â–²+7.3
Pass TD1.5â–¼-0.1
INT0.2â–¼-0.3
Rush Yds36.0â–²+9.2
Snaps55.8â–²+1.8
Snap %88.0%â–¼-4.2
Over 1.5 in 2 straight
Lamar Jackson passing tds by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 1.5.
1.5
  1. 2024
    2
  2. 2025
    2
  3. 1
  4. 4
  5. 1
  6. 0
  7. 2
  8. 3
  9. 2026
    1
  10. 2
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus, from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 1.5

  • Home 59% 10/17 · avg 1.8
  • Away 63% 12/19 · avg 2.2
  • vs BUF 100% 3/3 · avg 2.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 0.5 90% 9/10
  • O 1.5 Today 60% 6/10
  • O 2.5 20% 2/10
  • O 3.5 10% 1/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs BUF

What BUF allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds244.8#10
  • Yds/Att6.7#21
  • Cmp%61.3%#26
  • Pass TD2.3#2
  • Pass Att36.7#4

QBs vs BUF · 2026

Each main QB who faced BUF this season: pass tds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+0.8
Avg diff %+48%
Beat their average83% (5/6)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 18 Kirk Cousins22.3-14%
Oct 12 Matthew Stafford31.8+64%
Oct 04 Drake Maye31.7+80%
Sep 27 Justin Herbert10.8+25%
Sep 17 Jared Goff42.0+100%
Sep 13 C.J. Stroud21.5+33%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

BAL offense

BAL offense: Share of BAL pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep8%18.2 yds5%8.2 yds5%11.9 yds
Short25%7.7 yds23%8.9 yds34%6.2 yds

Share of BAL pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

BUF defense

BUF defense: Throws BUF faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%11.3 yds#125%12.4 yds#249%9.2 yds#24
Short31%5.4 yds#2417%6.4 yds#2832%5.5 yds#15

Throws BUF faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep11%19.1 yds4%11.0 yds9%11.5 yds
Short24%7.2 yds27%10.4 yds26%5.2 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/att

Target share · BAL 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of BAL targets this season, with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Zay Flowers WR68.85331.1%
2Mark Andrews TE75.33719.4%
3Ja'Kobi Lane WR34.31314.4%
4Rashod Bateman WR73.72613.1%
5Justice Hill RB72.4178.0%
6Chris Moore WR32.067.9%
7Josh Cuevas TE52.2117.3%
8Elijah Sarratt WR12.026.9%
9Devontez Walker WR51.896.3%
10Derrick Henry RB71.7126.0%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppPass TDsvs 1.5CloseSnaps
2026-09-273@ DAL2Over1.564 (100%)
2026-09-131@ IND1Under1.568 (100%)
2026-01-0418@ PIT3Over1.551 (100%)
2025-12-1415@ CIN2Over2.536 (88%)
2025-11-1611@ CLE0Under0.561 (100%)
2025-11-0910@ MIN1Under0.570 (100%)
2025-10-309@ MIA4Over4.556 (100%)
2025-09-284@ KC1Under1.538 (69%)
2025-09-071@ BUF2Over2.551 (100%)
2025-01-1920 (P)@ BUF2Over—59 (100%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 1.5Underdog 1.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs and snap counts from games already played. Target zones from play-by-play. Closing lines: market consensus. Lines: DraftKings, updated 10m ago.