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Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 172 players

Michael Penix QB

ATL vs BAL ·

1.5 Pass TDs O +117U -150
Hit rate · Last 10 · Home 29%2/7 Odds imply 43.4% Over
Season avg
1.0
Graph avg
0.9
Graph median
1.00–2
Over the close
0%0/4
2026 per game
Pass Yds239.5â–²+19.3
Att22.5â–¼-8.2
Cmp%73.3%â–²+13.2
Pass TD1.0+0.0
INT0.5â–²+0.2
Rush Yds-2.0â–¼-9.8
Snaps64.0â–²+2.6
Snap %100.0%â–²+6.8
Under 1.5 in 4 straight
Michael Penix passing tds by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 1.5.
  1. 2024
    0
  2. 0
  3. 2
  4. 2025
    1
  5. 2
  6. 1
  7. 0
  8. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 1.5

  • Home 29% 2/7 · avg 0.9
  • Away 11% 1/9 · avg 0.9
  • vs BAL No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 0.5 57% 4/7
  • O 1.5 Today 29% 2/7
  • O 2.5 0% 0/7
  • O 3.5 0% 0/7

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs BAL

What BAL allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds265.6#3
  • Yds/Att7.2#14
  • Cmp%65.8%#12
  • Pass TD1.1#27
  • Pass Att37.1#2

QBs vs BAL · 2026

Each main QB who faced BAL this season: pass tds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.5
Avg diff %-3%
Beat their average50% (2/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 04 Cam Ward10.7+50%
Sep 27 Dak Prescott12.0-50%
Sep 20 Tyler Shough12.7-62%
Sep 13 Daniel Jones10.7+50%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

ATL offense

ATL offense: Share of ATL pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep6%9.6 yds3%11.8 yds9%9.8 yds
Short36%6.7 yds18%6.4 yds28%5.9 yds

Share of ATL pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

BAL defense

BAL defense: Throws BAL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep5%15.8 yds#25%16.8 yds#117%15.6 yds#3
Short31%5.3 yds#2317%5.7 yds#2735%5.3 yds#21

Throws BAL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep10%16.6 yds3%15.5 yds9%7.0 yds
Short38%6.0 yds10%7.0 yds31%6.8 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/att

Target share · ATL 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of ATL targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Drake London WR46.22527.7%
2Bijan Robinson RB44.51821.1%
3Jahan Dotson WR43.21314.2%
4Kyle Pitts TE42.299.7%
5Austin Hooper TE32.378.9%
6Olamide Zaccheaus WR41.877.2%
7Zachariah Branch WR41.566.3%
8Charlie Woerner TE21.024.1%
9Brian Robinson RB40.832.9%
10Chris Blair WR40.832.4%

Game log · 7 games

DateWkOppPass TDsvs 1.5CloseSnaps
2025-11-1611vs CAR0Under1.541 (62%)
2025-10-136vs BUF1Under1.570 (100%)
2025-09-284vs WAS2Over2.565 (100%)
2025-09-071vs TB1Under1.576 (100%)
2025-01-0518vs CAR2Over—79 (100%)
2024-12-2216vs NYG0Under—67 (100%)
2024-10-207vs SEA0Under—7 (10%)

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 12m ago.