Game logs through Oct 26, 2026 · 162 players
Baker Mayfield QB
TB vs ATL ·
1.5 Pass TDs
O +117U -150
- Season avg
- 0.8
- Graph avg
- 2.8
- Graph median
- 3.02–3
- Over the close
- 50%1/2
-
2024
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-
2025
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-
Closing line = market consensus, from the 2025 season on.
Splits all logged games · over 1.5
- Home 60% 12/20 · avg 2.0
- Away 47% 9/19 · avg 1.6
- vs ATL 100% 4/4 · avg 2.8
Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared
- O 0.5 100% 4/4
- O 1.5 Today 100% 4/4
- O 2.5 75% 3/4
- O 3.5 0% 0/4
Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.
Matchup radar · QBs vs ATL
What ATL allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.
- Pass Yds263.1#2
- Yds/Att6.8#19
- Cmp%63.5%#17
- Pass TD1.5#14
- Pass Att38.9#1
QBs vs ATL · 2026
Each main QB who faced ATL this season: pass tds in that game against their own average in their other games.
| Date | Player | Result | Their avg | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 |
Brock Purdy | 1 | 2.3 | -57% |
| Oct 18 |
Caleb Williams | 1 | 1.3 | -25% |
| Oct 11 |
Tyler Huntley | 2 | 0.7 | +200% |
| Oct 05 |
Tyler Shough | 1 | 2.0 | -50% |
| Sep 24 |
Jordan Love | 2 | 1.8 | +9% |
| Sep 20 |
Bryce Young | 3 | 1.8 | +67% |
| Sep 13 |
Aaron Rodgers | 1 | 2.0 | -50% |
Target zones
Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.
TB offense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 6%9.9 yds | 4%13.4 yds | 6%8.5 yds |
| Short | 34%5.1 yds | 14%7.2 yds | 36%5.3 yds |
Share of TB pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att
ATL defense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 9%7.6 yds#27 | 3%19.0 yds#4 | 8%9.4 yds#22 |
| Short | 32%6.4 yds#8 | 14%6.6 yds#22 | 33%5.3 yds#19 |
Throws ATL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed
His throws
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 8%9.8 yds | 5%11.9 yds | 8%7.9 yds |
| Short | 32%5.5 yds | 15%6.9 yds | 32%6.1 yds |
Last 10 games · Yds/att
Target share · TB 2026
Each pass-catcher’s share of TB targets this season, with games and targets.
| # | Player | GP | Tgt/g | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emeka Egbuka WR | 6 | 8.2 | 49 | 25.6% |
| 2 | Chris Godwin Jr. WR | 7 | 4.9 | 34 | 19.9% |
| 3 | Cade Otton TE | 7 | 4.3 | 30 | 15.3% |
| 4 | Ted Hurst III WR | 6 | 3.8 | 23 | 12.7% |
| 5 | Bucky Irving RB | 7 | 3.3 | 23 | 12.4% |
| 6 | Tez Johnson WR | 7 | 2.1 | 15 | 8.4% |
| 7 | Kenny Gainwell RB | 7 | 2.4 | 17 | 8.0% |
| 8 | Payne Durham TE | 2 | 1.0 | 2 | 3.4% |
| 9 | Jalen McMillan WR | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | 2.9% |
| 10 | Kameron Johnson WR | 7 | 0.3 | 2 | 1.1% |
Game log · 4 games
| Date | Wk | Opp | Pass TDs | vs 1.5 | Close | Snaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-11 | 15 | vs ATL | 2 | Over | 2.5 | 69 (100%) |
| 2025-09-07 | 1 | @ ATL | 3 | Over | 1.5 | 58 (100%) |
| 2024-10-27 | 8 | vs ATL | 3 | Over | — | 73 (100%) |
| 2024-10-03 | 5 | @ ATL | 3 | Over | — | 53 (100%) |
Pick’em lines: Underdog 1.5
Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs and snap counts from games already played. Target zones from play-by-play. Closing lines: market consensus. Lines: DraftKings, updated 8m ago.
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