Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 170 players
Joe Burrow QB
CIN vs MIA ·
1.5 Pass TDs
O -182U +142
- Season avg
- 1.8
- Graph avg
- 2.6
- Graph median
- 3.01–4
- Over the close
- 67%4/6
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2024
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2025
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2026
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Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.
Splits all logged games · over 1.5
- Home 57% 8/14 · avg 2.2
- Away 80% 12/15 · avg 2.4
- vs MIA 100% 1/1 · avg 4.0
Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared
- O 0.5 100% 10/10
- O 1.5 Today 80% 8/10
- O 2.5 60% 6/10
- O 3.5 20% 2/10
Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.
Matchup radar · QBs vs MIA
What MIA allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.
- Pass Yds244.5#9
- Yds/Att7.9#5
- Cmp%73.3%#1
- Pass TD1.8#6
- Pass Att31.1#21
QBs vs MIA · 2026
Each main QB who faced MIA this season: pass tds in that game against their own average in their other games.
| Date | Player | Result | Their avg | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 04 |
Kyler Murray | 0 | 0.5 | -100% |
| Sep 27 |
Patrick Mahomes | 2 | 2.3 | -14% |
| Sep 20 |
Brock Purdy | 2 | 3.0 | -33% |
| Sep 13 |
Kirk Cousins | 3 | 2.7 | +13% |
Target zones
Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.
CIN offense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 4%13.4 yds | 3%14.9 yds | 7%11.7 yds |
| Short | 32%5.5 yds | 20%8.2 yds | 34%6.2 yds |
Share of CIN pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att
MIA defense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 7%12.1 yds#11 | 4%14.5 yds#19 | 8%11.2 yds#14 |
| Short | 29%6.5 yds#6 | 15%8.6 yds#5 | 37%6.3 yds#6 |
Throws MIA faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed
His throws
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 4%13.4 yds | 3%14.9 yds | 7%11.7 yds |
| Short | 32%5.5 yds | 20%8.4 yds | 34%6.2 yds |
Last 10 games · Yds/att
Target share · CIN 2026
Each pass-catcher’s share of CIN targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.
| # | Player | GP | Tgt/g | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tee Higgins WR | 4 | 9.8 | 39 | 24.8% |
| 2 | Ja'Marr Chase WR | 4 | 7.0 | 28 | 19.7% |
| 3 | Chase Brown RB | 4 | 6.0 | 24 | 15.0% |
| 4 | Mitchell Tinsley WR | 1 | 7.0 | 7 | 13.2% |
| 5 | Mike Gesicki TE | 3 | 5.0 | 15 | 12.7% |
| 6 | Erick All TE | 1 | 3.0 | 3 | 9.7% |
| 7 | Dohnte Meyers WR | 4 | 4.0 | 16 | 9.2% |
| 8 | Drew Sample TE | 2 | 2.5 | 5 | 7.1% |
| 9 | Andrei Iosivas WR | 2 | 2.0 | 4 | 6.0% |
| 10 | Samaje Perine RB | 4 | 2.0 | 8 | 5.5% |
Game log · 10 games
| Date | Wk | Opp | Pass TDs | vs 1.5 | Close | Snaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | 3 | @ PIT | 3 | Over | 1.5 | 57 (100%) |
| 2026-09-20 | 2 | @ HOU | 2 | Over | 1.5 | 60 (100%) |
| 2025-12-21 | 16 | @ MIA | 4 | Over | 3.5 | 55 (90%) |
| 2025-12-07 | 14 | @ BUF | 4 | Over | 2.5 | 60 (100%) |
| 2025-11-27 | 13 | @ BAL | 2 | Over | 2.5 | 83 (100%) |
| 2025-09-07 | 1 | @ CLE | 1 | Under | 1.5 | 52 (100%) |
| 2025-01-04 | 18 | @ PIT | 1 | Under | — | 74 (100%) |
| 2024-12-15 | 15 | @ TEN | 3 | Over | — | 69 (100%) |
| 2024-12-09 | 14 | @ DAL | 3 | Over | — | 71 (100%) |
| 2024-11-17 | 11 | @ LAC | 3 | Over | — | 82 (100%) |
Pick’em lines: Underdog 2.5
Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 13m ago.