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Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players

Sam Darnold QB

SEA vs SF ·

1.5 Pass TDs O -115U -111
Hit rate · Last 10 · Home 40%4/10 Odds imply 50.4% Over
Season avg
2.0
Graph avg
1.4
Graph median
1.00–4
Over the close
44%4/9
2026 per game
Pass Yds186.7â–¼-49.3
Att23.0â–¼-5.4
Cmp%65.2%â–¼-1.5
Pass TD2.0â–²+0.5
INT1.0â–²+0.3
Rush Yds3.7â–¼-1.8
Snaps44.0â–¼-16.6
Snap %70.0%â–¼-26.2
Sam Darnold passing tds by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 1.5.
  1. 2025
    4
  2. 1
  3. 1
  4. 0
  5. 0
  6. 2
  7. 1
  8. 3
  9. 2026
    0
  10. 2
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 1.5

  • Home 52% 11/21 · avg 1.8
  • Away 60% 12/20 · avg 1.8
  • vs SF 25% 1/4 · avg 0.8

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 0.5 70% 7/10
  • O 1.5 Today 40% 4/10
  • O 2.5 20% 2/10
  • O 3.5 10% 1/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs SF

What SF allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds212.6#21
  • Yds/Att6.4#22
  • Cmp%64.2%#14
  • Pass TD1.2#23
  • Pass Att33.0#12

QBs vs SF · 2026

Each main QB who faced SF this season: pass tds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.6
Avg diff %-25%
Beat their average33% (1/3)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 04 Bo Nix11.3-25%
Sep 27 Jacoby Brissett21.3+50%
Sep 10 Matthew Stafford02.0-100%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

SEA offense

SEA offense: Share of SEA pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep4%5.0 yds3%11.7 yds8%15.9 yds
Short32%6.9 yds19%7.4 yds32%6.7 yds

Share of SEA pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

SF defense

SF defense: Throws SF faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep6%5.4 yds#293%15.8 yds#1610%11.0 yds#15
Short34%7.0 yds#512%4.4 yds#3235%4.8 yds#26

Throws SF faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep4%7.0 yds3%12.0 yds9%14.2 yds
Short35%6.4 yds19%7.7 yds31%6.6 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/att

Target share · SEA 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of SEA targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR410.54237.3%
2Rashid Shaheed WR43.81514.3%
3AJ Barner TE43.81511.8%
4Cooper Kupp WR43.01210.3%
5Jadarian Price RB32.377.6%
6George Holani RB42.086.0%
7Emanuel Wilson RB41.256.0%
8Tory Horton WR22.045.8%
9Elijah Arroyo TE11.013.8%
10Brady Russell RB31.033.5%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppPass TDsvs 1.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-044vs LAC2Over1.560 (100%)
2026-09-091vs NE0Under1.55 (10%)
2026-01-2521 (P)vs LA3Over1.567 (100%)
2026-01-1720 (P)vs SF1Under1.547 (89%)
2025-12-1816vs LA2Over1.568 (100%)
2025-12-1415vs IND0Under0.560 (100%)
2025-11-3013vs MIN0Under0.564 (96%)
2025-11-0910vs ARI1Under1.556 (90%)
2025-10-207vs HOU1Under—72 (100%)
2025-10-055vs TB4Over3.561 (100%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 1.5Underdog 1.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 15m ago.