NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Kevin Durant

Rockets vs Mavericks · Wed Oct 21 · 8:30 PM ET

23.5 Pts O -123U -105

Hit rate · Last 10 70%7/10 Odds imply 51.9% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 25.6
Graph median: 25.019.0–33.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Kevin Durant points by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 23.5.

Splits all logged games · over 23.5

Home 55% 22/40 · avg 24.5
Away 72% 28/39 · avg 27.4
vs Mavericks 50% 2/4 · avg 23.8

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 19.5 90% 9/10
O 21.5 80% 8/10
O 23.5 Today 70% 7/10
O 25.5 40% 4/10
O 27.5 30% 3/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Pts	vs 23.5	Close
2026-04-21	@ Lakers	23	Under	—
2026-04-10	vs Timberwolves	33	Over	—
2026-04-09	vs 76ers	29	Over	—
2026-04-07	@ Suns	24	Over	—
2026-04-05	@ Warriors	31	Over	—
2026-04-03	vs Jazz	25	Over	—
2026-04-01	vs Bucks	19	Under	—
2026-03-31	vs Knicks	27	Over	—
2026-03-29	@ Pelicans	20	Under	—
2026-03-27	@ Grizzlies	25	Over	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 23.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 5m ago.