NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Klay Thompson

Heat vs Timberwolves · Wed Oct 21 · 7:30 PM ET

11.5 Pts O +105U -131

Hit rate · Last 10 50%5/10 Odds imply 46.2% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 11.6
Graph median: 11.55.0–18.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Klay Thompson points by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 11.5.

Splits all logged games · over 11.5

Home 43% 16/37 · avg 11.5
Away 46% 15/33 · avg 12.2
vs Timberwolves 0% 0/3 · avg 7.7

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 9.5 70% 7/10
O 10.5 70% 7/10
O 11.5 Today 50% 5/10
O 12.5 30% 3/10
O 13.5 30% 3/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Pts	vs 11.5	Close
2026-04-12	vs Bulls	12	Over	—
2026-04-07	@ Clippers	11	Under	—
2026-04-05	vs Lakers	11	Under	—
2026-04-03	vs Magic	18	Over	—
2026-03-30	vs Timberwolves	5	Under	—
2026-03-27	@ Trail Blazers	7	Under	—
2026-03-25	@ Nuggets	8	Under	—
2026-03-23	vs Warriors	15	Over	—
2026-03-21	vs Clippers	12	Over	—
2026-03-18	vs Hawks	17	Over	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 11.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 5m ago.