NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Jared McCain G

Thunder vs Spurs · Tue Oct 20 · 9:30 PM ET

9.5 Pts O -106U -121

Hit rate · Last 10 70%7/10 Odds imply 48.4% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 12.6
Graph median: 12.53.0–24.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Jared McCain points by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 9.5.

Splits all logged games · over 9.5

Home 45% 18/40 · avg 9.0
Away 42% 16/38 · avg 9.3
vs Spurs 71% 5/7 · avg 13.1

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 7.5 70% 7/10
O 8.5 70% 7/10
O 9.5 Today 70% 7/10
O 10.5 70% 7/10
O 11.5 70% 7/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · Guards vs Spurs

What Spurs allowed to Guards per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 30 defenses.

Pts48.2#1
Ast10.8#16
3PM7.2#2
Reb16.3#2

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Pts	vs 9.5	Close
2026-05-30	vs Spurs	12	Over	—
2026-05-28	@ Spurs	13	Over	—
2026-05-26	vs Spurs	20	Over	—
2026-05-24	@ Spurs	4	Under	—
2026-05-22	@ Spurs	24	Over	—
2026-05-20	vs Spurs	12	Over	—
2026-05-18	vs Spurs	7	Under	—
2026-05-11	@ Lakers	13	Over	—
2026-05-09	@ Lakers	3	Under	—
2026-05-07	vs Lakers	18	Over	—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 9.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 5m ago.