NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Luka Dončić

Lakers vs Warriors · Wed Oct 21 · 10:00 PM ET

3.5 3PM O -148U +114

Hit rate · Last 10 · vs Warriors 50%1/2 Odds imply 56.1% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 3.0
Graph median: 3.02.0–4.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Luka Dončić 3-pointers made by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 3.5.

Splits all logged games · over 3.5

Home 66% 21/32 · avg 4.1
Away 47% 15/32 · avg 3.8
vs Warriors 50% 1/2 · avg 3.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 1.5 100% 2/2
O 2.5 50% 1/2
O 3.5 Today 50% 1/2
O 4.5 0% 0/2
O 5.5 0% 0/2

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 2 games

Date	Opp	3PM	vs 3.5	Close
2026-02-28	@ Warriors	4	Over	—
2025-10-21	vs Warriors	2	Under	—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 3.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 4m ago.