NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Chet Holmgren

Thunder vs Spurs · Tue Oct 20 · 9:30 PM ET

9.5 Reb+Ast O -106U -125

Hit rate · Last 10 · vs Spurs 50%5/10 Odds imply 48.1% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 8.5
Graph median: 9.04.0–14.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Chet Holmgren reb + ast by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 9.5.

Splits all logged games · over 9.5

Home 60% 25/42 · avg 10.7
Away 62% 26/42 · avg 10.0
vs Spurs 46% 5/11 · avg 8.4

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 7.5 60% 6/10
O 8.5 50% 5/10
O 9.5 Today 50% 5/10
O 10.5 40% 4/10
O 11.5 30% 3/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Reb+Ast	vs 9.5	Close
2026-05-30	vs Spurs	4	Under	—
2026-05-28	@ Spurs	12	Over	—
2026-05-26	vs Spurs	12	Over	—
2026-05-24	@ Spurs	11	Over	—
2026-05-22	@ Spurs	4	Under	—
2026-05-20	vs Spurs	6	Under	—
2026-05-18	vs Spurs	8	Under	—
2026-01-13	vs Spurs	10	Over	—
2025-12-25	vs Spurs	14	Over	—
2025-12-23	@ Spurs	4	Under	—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 9.5PrizePicks 9.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 4m ago.