NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Keldon Johnson

Spurs vs Thunder · Tue Oct 20 · 9:30 PM ET

3.5 Reb O -138U +104

Hit rate · Last 10 · Home 40%4/10 Odds imply 54.2% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 3.6
Graph median: 3.00.0–10.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Keldon Johnson rebounds by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 3.5.

Splits all logged games · over 3.5

Home 69% 36/52 · avg 5.2
Away 63% 34/54 · avg 4.6
vs Thunder 42% 5/12 · avg 3.6

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 1.5 90% 9/10
O 2.5 60% 6/10
O 3.5 Today 40% 4/10
O 4.5 30% 3/10
O 5.5 10% 1/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Reb	vs 3.5	Close
2026-06-13	vs Knicks	5	Over	—
2026-06-05	vs Knicks	4	Over	—
2026-06-03	vs Knicks	0	Under	—
2026-05-28	vs Thunder	3	Under	—
2026-05-24	vs Thunder	3	Under	—
2026-05-22	vs Thunder	2	Under	—
2026-05-12	vs Timberwolves	2	Under	—
2026-05-06	vs Timberwolves	10	Over	—
2026-05-04	vs Timberwolves	2	Under	—
2026-04-28	vs Trail Blazers	5	Over	—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 3.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 4m ago.