NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Jalen Williams

Thunder vs Spurs · Tue Oct 20 · 9:30 PM ET

4.5 Reb O -120U -109

Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 30%3/10 Odds imply 51.1% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 3.7
Graph median: 4.00.0–6.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Jalen Williams rebounds by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 4.5.

Splits all logged games · over 4.5

Home 50% 11/22 · avg 4.5
Away 44% 7/16 · avg 4.4
vs Spurs 43% 3/7 · avg 3.3

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 2.5 90% 9/10
O 3.5 60% 6/10
O 4.5 Today 30% 3/10
O 5.5 10% 1/10
O 6.5 0% 0/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Reb	vs 4.5	Close
2026-05-28	@ Spurs	0	Under	—
2026-04-08	@ Clippers	6	Over	—
2026-03-25	@ Celtics	3	Under	—
2026-03-23	@ 76ers	4	Under	—
2026-02-11	@ Suns	4	Under	—
2026-02-09	@ Lakers	3	Under	—
2026-01-17	@ Heat	3	Under	—
2026-01-15	@ Rockets	5	Over	—
2026-01-09	@ Grizzlies	5	Over	—
2026-01-04	@ Suns	4	Under	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 4.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 4m ago.