NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Ajay Mitchell G

Thunder vs Spurs · Tue Oct 20 · 9:30 PM ET

3.5 Reb O +135U -174

Hit rate · Last 10 60%6/10 Odds imply 40.1% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 3.6
Graph median: 4.00.0–6.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Ajay Mitchell rebounds by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 3.5.

Splits all logged games · over 3.5

Home 36% 13/36 · avg 3.1
Away 53% 17/32 · avg 3.8
vs Spurs 80% 4/5 · avg 4.2

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 1.5 90% 9/10
O 2.5 80% 8/10
O 3.5 Today 60% 6/10
O 4.5 30% 3/10
O 5.5 10% 1/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · Guards vs Spurs

What Spurs allowed to Guards per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 30 defenses.

Pts48.2#1
Ast10.8#16
3PM7.2#2
Reb16.3#2

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Reb	vs 3.5	Close
2026-05-22	@ Spurs	5	Over	—
2026-05-20	vs Spurs	0	Under	—
2026-05-18	vs Spurs	4	Over	—
2026-05-11	@ Lakers	3	Under	—
2026-05-09	@ Lakers	4	Over	—
2026-05-07	vs Lakers	3	Under	—
2026-05-05	vs Lakers	2	Under	—
2026-04-27	@ Suns	4	Over	—
2026-04-25	@ Suns	6	Over	—
2026-04-22	vs Suns	5	Over	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 3Underdog 3.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 3m ago.