NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Daniel Gafford

Mavericks vs Rockets · Wed Oct 21 · 8:30 PM ET

6.5 Reb O -148U +108

Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 40%4/10 Odds imply 55.4% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 7.8
Graph median: 6.04.0–14.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Daniel Gafford rebounds by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 6.5.

Splits all logged games · over 6.5

Home 63% 17/27 · avg 7.1
Away 39% 11/28 · avg 6.6
vs Rockets 67% 2/3 · avg 7.7

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 4.5 80% 8/10
O 5.5 60% 6/10
O 6.5 Today 40% 4/10
O 7.5 40% 4/10
O 8.5 40% 4/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Reb	vs 6.5	Close
2026-03-31	@ Bucks	4	Under	—
2026-03-12	@ Grizzlies	14	Over	—
2026-03-10	@ Hawks	10	Over	—
2026-03-08	@ Raptors	11	Over	—
2026-03-05	@ Magic	13	Over	—
2026-03-03	@ Hornets	5	Under	—
2026-02-24	@ Nets	4	Under	—
2026-02-22	@ Pacers	6	Under	—
2026-02-20	@ Timberwolves	5	Under	—
2026-02-12	@ Lakers	6	Under	—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 7.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 4m ago.