NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Matas Buzelis

Bulls vs Raptors · Wed Oct 21 · 7:30 PM ET

5.5 Reb O -104U -128

Hit rate · Last 10 80%8/10 Odds imply 47.6% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 7.2
Graph median: 7.54.0–10.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Matas Buzelis rebounds by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 5.5.

Splits all logged games · over 5.5

Home 52% 21/40 · avg 5.8
Away 60% 22/37 · avg 5.9
vs Raptors 100% 3/3 · avg 6.3

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 3.5 100% 10/10
O 4.5 90% 9/10
O 5.5 Today 80% 8/10
O 6.5 60% 6/10
O 7.5 50% 5/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Reb	vs 5.5	Close
2026-04-10	vs Magic	8	Over	—
2026-04-03	@ Knicks	6	Over	—
2026-04-01	vs Pacers	9	Over	—
2026-03-30	@ Spurs	6	Over	—
2026-03-28	@ Grizzlies	10	Over	—
2026-03-27	@ Thunder	9	Over	—
2026-03-25	@ 76ers	8	Over	—
2026-03-23	vs Rockets	4	Under	—
2026-03-19	vs Cavaliers	5	Under	—
2026-03-18	vs Raptors	7	Over	—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 5.5PrizePicks 5.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 3m ago.