NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

LaMelo Ball

Timberwolves vs Heat · Wed Oct 21 · 7:30 PM ET

4.5 Reb O -145U +108

Hit rate · Last 10 · vs Heat 75%3/4 Odds imply 55.2% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 5.2
Graph median: 5.52.0–8.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

LaMelo Ball rebounds by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 4.5.

Splits all logged games · over 4.5

Home 50% 18/36 · avg 4.5
Away 55% 21/38 · avg 5.0
vs Heat 75% 3/4 · avg 5.2

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 2.5 75% 3/4
O 3.5 75% 3/4
O 4.5 Today 75% 3/4
O 5.5 50% 2/4
O 6.5 25% 1/4

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 4 games

Date	Opp	Reb	vs 4.5	Close
2026-04-14	vs Heat	5	Over	—
2026-03-17	vs Heat	6	Over	—
2026-03-06	vs Heat	2	Under	—
2025-10-28	@ Heat	8	Over	—

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 4m ago.