NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

LaMelo Ball

Timberwolves vs Heat · Wed Oct 21 · 7:30 PM ET

4.5 Reb O -145U +108

Hit rate · Last 10 60%6/10 Odds imply 55.2% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 4.6
Graph median: 5.02.0–7.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

LaMelo Ball rebounds by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 4.5.

Splits all logged games · over 4.5

Home 50% 18/36 · avg 4.5
Away 55% 21/38 · avg 5.0
vs Heat 75% 3/4 · avg 5.2

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 2.5 80% 8/10
O 3.5 70% 7/10
O 4.5 Today 60% 6/10
O 5.5 30% 3/10
O 6.5 20% 2/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Reb	vs 4.5	Close
2026-04-17	@ Magic	2	Under	—
2026-04-14	vs Heat	5	Over	—
2026-04-12	@ Knicks	7	Over	—
2026-04-10	vs Pistons	5	Over	—
2026-04-07	@ Celtics	5	Over	—
2026-04-05	@ Timberwolves	3	Under	—
2026-04-03	vs Pacers	6	Over	—
2026-04-02	vs Suns	2	Under	—
2026-03-31	@ Nets	7	Over	—
2026-03-29	vs Celtics	4	Under	—

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 7m ago.