NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Davion Mitchell

Heat vs Timberwolves · Wed Oct 21 · 7:30 PM ET

11.5 Pts+Reb O -108U -122

Hit rate · Last 10 · Home 80%8/10 Odds imply 48.6% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 15.2
Graph median: 16.04.0–23.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Davion Mitchell pts + reb by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 11.5.

Splits all logged games · over 11.5

Home 66% 23/35 · avg 12.7
Away 58% 21/36 · avg 11.9
vs Timberwolves 50% 1/2 · avg 11.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 9.5 90% 9/10
O 10.5 80% 8/10
O 11.5 Today 80% 8/10
O 12.5 80% 8/10
O 13.5 70% 7/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Pts+Reb	vs 11.5	Close
2026-04-12	vs Hawks	14	Over	—
2026-04-04	vs Wizards	16	Over	—
2026-04-01	vs Celtics	23	Over	—
2026-03-30	vs 76ers	13	Over	—
2026-03-23	vs Spurs	4	Under	—
2026-03-19	vs Lakers	19	Over	—
2026-03-14	vs Magic	16	Over	—
2026-03-12	vs Bucks	18	Over	—
2026-03-10	vs Wizards	19	Over	—
2026-03-08	vs Pistons	10	Under	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 11.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 4m ago.