NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Jaden McDaniels F

Timberwolves vs Heat · Wed Oct 21 · 7:30 PM ET

20.5 Pts+Reb O -116U -113

Hit rate · Last 10 · Home 60%6/10 Odds imply 50.3% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 24.1
Graph median: 22.514.0–42.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Jaden McDaniels pts + reb by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 20.5.

Splits all logged games · over 20.5

Home 45% 19/42 · avg 19.8
Away 49% 21/43 · avg 19.2
vs Heat 50% 1/2 · avg 14.5

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 16.5 90% 9/10
O 18.5 90% 9/10
O 20.5 Today 60% 6/10
O 22.5 50% 5/10
O 24.5 30% 3/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · Forwards vs Heat

What Heat allowed to Forwards per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 30 defenses.

Pts48.0#2
Reb16.8#5
Ast7.2#14
3PM5.9#1

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Pts+Reb	vs 20.5	Close
2026-05-15	vs Spurs	14	Under	—
2026-05-10	vs Spurs	20	Under	—
2026-05-08	vs Spurs	24	Over	—
2026-04-30	vs Nuggets	42	Over	—
2026-04-25	vs Nuggets	20	Under	—
2026-04-23	vs Nuggets	30	Over	—
2026-03-25	vs Rockets	27	Over	—
2026-03-20	vs Trail Blazers	22	Over	—
2026-03-18	vs Jazz	19	Under	—
2026-03-17	vs Suns	23	Over	—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 20.5PrizePicks 20.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 4m ago.