NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Jaden McDaniels F

Timberwolves vs Heat · Wed Oct 21 · 7:30 PM ET

20.5 Pts+Reb O -116U -113

Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 50%5/10 Odds imply 50.3% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 18.7
Graph median: 20.53.0–25.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Jaden McDaniels pts + reb by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 20.5.

Splits all logged games · over 20.5

Home 45% 19/42 · avg 19.8
Away 49% 21/43 · avg 19.2
vs Heat 50% 1/2 · avg 14.5

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 16.5 60% 6/10
O 18.5 60% 6/10
O 20.5 Today 50% 5/10
O 22.5 40% 4/10
O 24.5 10% 1/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · Forwards vs Heat

What Heat allowed to Forwards per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 30 defenses.

Pts48.0#2
Reb16.8#5
Ast7.2#14
3PM5.9#1

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Pts+Reb	vs 20.5	Close
2026-05-12	@ Spurs	23	Over	—
2026-05-06	@ Spurs	15	Under	—
2026-05-04	@ Spurs	21	Over	—
2026-04-27	@ Nuggets	16	Under	—
2026-04-20	@ Nuggets	16	Under	—
2026-04-18	@ Nuggets	24	Over	—
2026-04-10	@ Rockets	24	Over	—
2026-04-08	@ Magic	20	Under	—
2026-03-22	@ Celtics	25	Over	—
2026-03-15	@ Thunder	3	Under	—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 20.5PrizePicks 20.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 4m ago.