NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Daniel Gafford

Mavericks vs Rockets · Wed Oct 21 · 8:30 PM ET

17.5 Pts+Reb O -114U -116

Hit rate · Last 10 · vs Rockets 67%2/3 Odds imply 49.8% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 20.7
Graph median: 18.017.0–27.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Daniel Gafford pts + reb by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 17.5.

Splits all logged games · over 17.5

Home 44% 12/27 · avg 17.4
Away 36% 10/28 · avg 15.4
vs Rockets 67% 2/3 · avg 20.7

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 13.5 100% 3/3
O 15.5 100% 3/3
O 17.5 Today 67% 2/3
O 19.5 33% 1/3
O 21.5 33% 1/3

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 3 games

Date	Opp	Pts+Reb	vs 17.5	Close
2026-01-31	@ Rockets	27	Over	—
2026-01-03	vs Rockets	17	Under	—
2025-11-03	@ Rockets	18	Over	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 17.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 2m ago.