NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Aaron Nesmith

Pacers vs Pelicans · Wed Oct 21 · 8:00 PM ET

16.5 Pts+Reb O -114U -115

Hit rate · Last 10 · vs Pelicans 0%0/1 Odds imply 49.9% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 16.0
Graph median: 16.016.0–16.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Aaron Nesmith pts + reb by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 16.5.

Splits all logged games · over 16.5

Home 63% 12/19 · avg 19.4
Away 50% 13/26 · avg 16.9
vs Pelicans 0% 0/1 · avg 16.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 12.5 100% 1/1
O 14.5 100% 1/1
O 16.5 Today 0% 0/1
O 18.5 0% 0/1
O 20.5 0% 0/1

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 1 game

Date	Opp	Pts+Reb	vs 16.5	Close
2026-01-16	vs Pelicans	16	Under	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 16.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 2m ago.