NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

LaMelo Ball

Timberwolves vs Heat · Wed Oct 21 · 7:30 PM ET

24.5 Pts+Reb O -120U -110

Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 70%7/10 Odds imply 51.0% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 28.0
Graph median: 25.518.0–41.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

LaMelo Ball pts + reb by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 24.5.

Splits all logged games · over 24.5

Home 42% 15/36 · avg 24.3
Away 53% 20/38 · avg 25.7
vs Heat 75% 3/4 · avg 30.5

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 20.5 90% 9/10
O 22.5 70% 7/10
O 24.5 Today 70% 7/10
O 26.5 40% 4/10
O 28.5 40% 4/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Pts+Reb	vs 24.5	Close
2026-04-17	@ Magic	25	Over	—
2026-04-12	@ Knicks	26	Over	—
2026-04-07	@ Celtics	41	Over	—
2026-04-05	@ Timberwolves	38	Over	—
2026-03-31	@ Nets	21	Under	—
2026-03-14	@ Spurs	21	Under	—
2026-03-11	@ Kings	36	Over	—
2026-03-10	@ Trail Blazers	18	Under	—
2026-03-08	@ Suns	29	Over	—
2026-03-04	@ Celtics	25	Over	—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 24.5PrizePicks 24.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 2m ago.