NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Alexandre Sarr

Wizards vs Bucks · Wed Oct 21 · 7:00 PM ET

21.5 Pts+Reb O -118U -112

Hit rate · Last 10 · Home 60%6/10 Odds imply 50.6% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 23.6
Graph median: 22.55.0–41.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Alexandre Sarr pts + reb by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 21.5.

Splits all logged games · over 21.5

Home 61% 14/23 · avg 23.3
Away 72% 18/25 · avg 24.2
vs Bucks 100% 3/3 · avg 28.7

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 17.5 80% 8/10
O 19.5 70% 7/10
O 21.5 Today 60% 6/10
O 23.5 40% 4/10
O 25.5 30% 3/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Pts+Reb	vs 21.5	Close
2026-03-21	vs Thunder	19	Under	—
2026-03-19	vs Pistons	5	Under	—
2026-02-08	vs Heat	24	Over	—
2026-02-03	vs Knicks	20	Under	—
2026-01-30	vs Lakers	22	Over	—
2026-01-29	vs Bucks	33	Over	—
2026-01-27	vs Trail Blazers	41	Over	—
2026-01-22	vs Nuggets	23	Over	—
2026-01-19	vs Clippers	34	Over	—
2026-01-09	vs Pelicans	15	Under	—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 20.5PrizePicks 21.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 4m ago.