NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Davion Mitchell G

Heat vs Timberwolves · Wed Oct 21 · 7:30 PM ET

15.5 Pts+Ast O +102U -136

Hit rate · Last 10 · Home 60%6/10 Odds imply 46.2% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 16.6
Graph median: 17.55.0–28.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Davion Mitchell pts + ast by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 15.5.

Splits all logged games · over 15.5

Home 51% 18/35 · avg 15.7
Away 56% 20/36 · avg 16.4
vs Timberwolves 50% 1/2 · avg 16.5

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 11.5 90% 9/10
O 13.5 70% 7/10
O 15.5 Today 60% 6/10
O 17.5 50% 5/10
O 19.5 20% 2/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · Guards vs Timberwolves

What Timberwolves allowed to Guards per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 30 defenses.

Pts58.9#1
Ast14.1#7
3PM5.2#22
Reb17.5#2

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Pts+Ast	vs 15.5	Close
2026-04-12	vs Hawks	13	Under	—
2026-04-04	vs Wizards	18	Over	—
2026-04-01	vs Celtics	28	Over	—
2026-03-30	vs 76ers	14	Under	—
2026-03-23	vs Spurs	5	Under	—
2026-03-19	vs Lakers	22	Over	—
2026-03-14	vs Magic	18	Over	—
2026-03-12	vs Bucks	18	Over	—
2026-03-10	vs Wizards	17	Over	—
2026-03-08	vs Pistons	13	Under	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 14.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: FanDuel, updated 3m ago.