NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Kevin Durant F

Rockets vs Mavericks · Wed Oct 21 · 8:30 PM ET

28.5 Pts+Ast O -112U -118

Hit rate · Last 10 · Home 70%7/10 Odds imply 49.4% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 30.8
Graph median: 31.020.0–40.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Kevin Durant pts + ast by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 28.5.

Splits all logged games · over 28.5

Home 58% 23/40 · avg 29.4
Away 69% 27/39 · avg 32.0
vs Mavericks 50% 2/4 · avg 29.5

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 24.5 80% 8/10
O 26.5 80% 8/10
O 28.5 Today 70% 7/10
O 30.5 60% 6/10
O 32.5 40% 4/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · Forwards vs Mavericks

What Mavericks allowed to Forwards per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 30 defenses.

Pts43.7#3
Reb15.8#8
Ast9.4#7
3PM4.5#5

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Pts+Ast	vs 28.5	Close
2026-04-10	vs Timberwolves	40	Over	—
2026-04-09	vs 76ers	34	Over	—
2026-04-03	vs Jazz	31	Over	—
2026-04-01	vs Bucks	28	Under	—
2026-03-31	vs Knicks	35	Over	—
2026-03-21	vs Heat	30	Over	—
2026-03-20	vs Hawks	31	Over	—
2026-03-18	vs Lakers	22	Under	—
2026-03-16	vs Lakers	20	Under	—
2026-03-13	vs Pelicans	37	Over	—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 28.5PrizePicks 28.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 5m ago.