NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Ethan Thompson

Heat vs Timberwolves · Wed Oct 21 · 7:30 PM ET

Avg 10.3 Pts+Ast

2025-26 average · no line posted yet

Hit rate vs avg · Last 10 · Away 40%4/10 No line posted yet

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 10.2
Graph median: 5.03.0–29.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Ethan Thompson pts + ast by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 10.3.

Splits all logged games · over 10.3

Home 46% 6/13 · avg 9.2
Away 50% 7/14 · avg 11.2
vs Timberwolves 100% 1/1 · avg 18.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 8.3 40% 4/10
O 9.3 40% 4/10
O 10.3 Avg 40% 4/10
O 11.3 40% 4/10
O 12.3 30% 3/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Pts+Ast	vs 10.3	Close
2026-04-09	@ Nets	21	Over	—
2026-04-05	@ Cavaliers	6	Under	—
2026-04-03	@ Hornets	3	Under	—
2026-04-01	@ Bulls	29	Over	—
2026-03-29	@ Pacers	3	Under	—
2026-02-19	@ Wizards	4	Under	—
2026-02-11	@ Nets	18	Over	—
2026-01-17	@ Pistons	12	Over	—
2026-01-08	@ Hornets	3	Under	—
2025-12-29	@ Rockets	3	Under	—

No sportsbook line is posted for this player yet, so hit rate counts past games above the player’s own 2025-26 average. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores.