NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Jaden McDaniels F

Timberwolves vs Heat · Wed Oct 21 · 7:30 PM ET

17.5 Pts+Ast O -125U -106

Hit rate · Last 10 · vs Heat 50%1/2 Odds imply 51.9% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 14.5
Graph median: 14.58.0–21.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Jaden McDaniels pts + ast by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 17.5.

Splits all logged games · over 17.5

Home 52% 22/42 · avg 17.6
Away 56% 24/43 · avg 17.8
vs Heat 50% 1/2 · avg 14.5

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 13.5 50% 1/2
O 15.5 50% 1/2
O 17.5 Today 50% 1/2
O 19.5 50% 1/2
O 21.5 0% 0/2

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · Forwards vs Heat

What Heat allowed to Forwards per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 30 defenses.

Pts48.0#2
Reb16.8#5
Ast7.2#14
3PM5.9#1

Game log · 2 games

Date	Opp	Pts+Ast	vs 17.5	Close
2026-01-06	vs Heat	21	Over	—
2026-01-03	@ Heat	8	Under	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 17.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: FanDuel, updated 4m ago.