NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Jaden McDaniels

Timberwolves vs Heat · Wed Oct 21 · 7:30 PM ET

17.5 Pts+Ast O -125U -106

Hit rate · Last 10 · Home 70%7/10 Odds imply 51.9% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 20.6
Graph median: 19.514.0–35.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Jaden McDaniels pts + ast by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 17.5.

Splits all logged games · over 17.5

Home 52% 22/42 · avg 17.6
Away 56% 24/43 · avg 17.8
vs Heat 50% 1/2 · avg 14.5

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 13.5 100% 10/10
O 15.5 80% 8/10
O 17.5 Today 70% 7/10
O 19.5 50% 5/10
O 21.5 30% 3/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Pts+Ast	vs 17.5	Close
2026-05-15	vs Spurs	16	Under	—
2026-05-10	vs Spurs	14	Under	—
2026-05-08	vs Spurs	19	Over	—
2026-04-30	vs Nuggets	35	Over	—
2026-04-25	vs Nuggets	15	Under	—
2026-04-23	vs Nuggets	23	Over	—
2026-03-25	vs Rockets	25	Over	—
2026-03-20	vs Trail Blazers	19	Over	—
2026-03-18	vs Jazz	20	Over	—
2026-03-17	vs Suns	20	Over	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 17.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: FanDuel, updated 6m ago.