NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Chet Holmgren

Thunder vs Spurs · Tue Oct 20 · 9:30 PM ET

14.5 Pts+Ast O -108U -121

Hit rate · Last 10 · Home 70%7/10 Odds imply 48.7% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 15.8
Graph median: 16.54.0–25.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Chet Holmgren pts + ast by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 14.5.

Splits all logged games · over 14.5

Home 71% 30/42 · avg 18.2
Away 69% 29/42 · avg 18.4
vs Spurs 36% 4/11 · avg 11.5

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 12.5 70% 7/10
O 13.5 70% 7/10
O 14.5 Today 70% 7/10
O 15.5 60% 6/10
O 16.5 50% 5/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Pts+Ast	vs 14.5	Close
2026-05-30	vs Spurs	4	Under	—
2026-05-26	vs Spurs	17	Over	—
2026-05-20	vs Spurs	15	Over	—
2026-05-18	vs Spurs	8	Under	—
2026-05-07	vs Lakers	25	Over	—
2026-05-05	vs Lakers	25	Over	—
2026-04-22	vs Suns	19	Over	—
2026-04-19	vs Suns	16	Over	—
2026-04-05	vs Jazz	22	Over	—
2026-04-02	vs Lakers	7	Under	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 14.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 4m ago.