NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Chet Holmgren

Thunder vs Spurs · Tue Oct 20 · 9:30 PM ET

14.5 Pts+Ast O -108U -121

Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 60%6/10 Odds imply 48.7% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 17.3
Graph median: 15.010.0–35.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Chet Holmgren pts + ast by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 14.5.

Splits all logged games · over 14.5

Home 71% 30/42 · avg 18.2
Away 69% 29/42 · avg 18.4
vs Spurs 36% 4/11 · avg 11.5

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 12.5 60% 6/10
O 13.5 60% 6/10
O 14.5 Today 60% 6/10
O 15.5 40% 4/10
O 16.5 30% 3/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Pts+Ast	vs 14.5	Close
2026-05-28	@ Spurs	11	Under	—
2026-05-24	@ Spurs	12	Under	—
2026-05-22	@ Spurs	15	Over	—
2026-05-11	@ Lakers	16	Over	—
2026-05-09	@ Lakers	19	Over	—
2026-04-27	@ Suns	28	Over	—
2026-04-25	@ Suns	12	Under	—
2026-04-08	@ Clippers	35	Over	—
2026-04-07	@ Lakers	15	Over	—
2026-03-25	@ Celtics	10	Under	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 14.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 3m ago.