NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Ajay Mitchell G

Thunder vs Spurs · Tue Oct 20 · 9:30 PM ET

14.5 Pts+Ast O -115U -114

Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 50%5/10 Odds imply 50.1% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 17.5
Graph median: 14.53.0–34.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Ajay Mitchell pts + ast by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 14.5.

Splits all logged games · over 14.5

Home 64% 23/36 · avg 16.8
Away 69% 22/32 · avg 18.5
vs Spurs 20% 1/5 · avg 10.4

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 12.5 50% 5/10
O 13.5 50% 5/10
O 14.5 Today 50% 5/10
O 15.5 50% 5/10
O 16.5 50% 5/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · Guards vs Spurs

What Spurs allowed to Guards per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 30 defenses.

Pts48.2#1
Ast10.8#16
3PM7.2#2
Reb16.3#2

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Pts+Ast	vs 14.5	Close
2026-05-22	@ Spurs	3	Under	—
2026-05-11	@ Lakers	32	Over	—
2026-05-09	@ Lakers	34	Over	—
2026-04-27	@ Suns	28	Over	—
2026-04-25	@ Suns	17	Over	—
2026-04-08	@ Clippers	10	Under	—
2026-04-07	@ Lakers	12	Under	—
2026-03-25	@ Celtics	10	Under	—
2026-03-21	@ Wizards	17	Over	—
2026-03-18	@ Nets	12	Under	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 14.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 6m ago.