NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Reed Sheppard

Rockets vs Mavericks · Wed Oct 21 · 8:30 PM ET

11.5 Pts+Ast O -123U -107

Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 70%7/10 Odds imply 51.6% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 14.3
Graph median: 13.03.0–25.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Reed Sheppard pts + ast by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 11.5.

Splits all logged games · over 11.5

Home 70% 31/44 · avg 17.3
Away 82% 36/44 · avg 16.5
vs Mavericks 50% 2/4 · avg 10.8

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 9.5 80% 8/10
O 10.5 80% 8/10
O 11.5 Today 70% 7/10
O 12.5 70% 7/10
O 13.5 40% 4/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Pts+Ast	vs 11.5	Close
2026-04-29	@ Lakers	18	Over	—
2026-04-21	@ Lakers	3	Under	—
2026-04-18	@ Lakers	25	Over	—
2026-04-07	@ Suns	13	Over	—
2026-04-05	@ Warriors	13	Over	—
2026-03-29	@ Pelicans	8	Under	—
2026-03-27	@ Grizzlies	20	Over	—
2026-03-25	@ Timberwolves	13	Over	—
2026-03-23	@ Bulls	19	Over	—
2026-03-11	@ Nuggets	11	Under	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 11.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 4m ago.