NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Luka Dončić

Lakers vs Warriors · Wed Oct 21 · 10:00 PM ET

40.5 Pts+Ast O -120U -110

Hit rate · Last 10 · vs Warriors 50%1/2 Odds imply 51.0% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 43.0
Graph median: 43.034.0–52.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Luka Dončić pts + ast by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 40.5.

Splits all logged games · over 40.5

Home 66% 21/32 · avg 42.1
Away 53% 17/32 · avg 41.4
vs Warriors 50% 1/2 · avg 43.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 36.5 50% 1/2
O 38.5 50% 1/2
O 40.5 Today 50% 1/2
O 42.5 50% 1/2
O 44.5 50% 1/2

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 2 games

Date	Opp	Pts+Ast	vs 40.5	Close
2026-02-28	@ Warriors	34	Under	—
2025-10-21	vs Warriors	52	Over	—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 40.5PrizePicks 40.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 4m ago.