NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Alexandre Sarr F

Wizards vs Bucks · Wed Oct 21 · 7:00 PM ET

16.5 Pts+Ast O -105U -125

Hit rate · Last 10 · vs Bucks 67%2/3 Odds imply 48.0% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 17.7
Graph median: 18.013.0–22.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Alexandre Sarr pts + ast by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 16.5.

Splits all logged games · over 16.5

Home 74% 17/23 · avg 19.7
Away 64% 16/25 · avg 18.3
vs Bucks 67% 2/3 · avg 17.7

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 12.5 100% 3/3
O 14.5 67% 2/3
O 16.5 Today 67% 2/3
O 18.5 33% 1/3
O 20.5 33% 1/3

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · Forwards vs Bucks

What Bucks allowed to Forwards per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 30 defenses.

Pts23.2#23
Reb8.1#27
Ast5.2#22
3PM3.0#19

Game log · 3 games

Date	Opp	Pts+Ast	vs 16.5	Close
2026-01-29	vs Bucks	18	Over	—
2025-12-31	@ Bucks	22	Over	—
2025-10-22	@ Bucks	13	Under	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 16.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 3m ago.