NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Alexandre Sarr

Wizards vs Bucks · Wed Oct 21 · 7:00 PM ET

16.5 Pts+Ast O -105U -125

Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 40%4/10 Odds imply 48.0% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 15.0
Graph median: 14.54.0–29.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Alexandre Sarr pts + ast by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 16.5.

Splits all logged games · over 16.5

Home 74% 17/23 · avg 19.7
Away 64% 16/25 · avg 18.3
vs Bucks 67% 2/3 · avg 17.7

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 12.5 60% 6/10
O 14.5 50% 5/10
O 16.5 Today 40% 4/10
O 18.5 30% 3/10
O 20.5 30% 3/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Pts+Ast	vs 16.5	Close
2026-03-27	@ Warriors	11	Under	—
2026-03-14	@ Celtics	4	Under	—
2026-03-12	@ Magic	16	Under	—
2026-03-10	@ Heat	29	Over	—
2026-03-08	@ Pelicans	8	Under	—
2026-02-05	@ Pistons	13	Under	—
2026-01-24	@ Hornets	25	Over	—
2026-01-17	@ Nuggets	17	Over	—
2026-01-16	@ Kings	22	Over	—
2026-01-14	@ Clippers	5	Under	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 16.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 4m ago.