NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Jaden McDaniels

Timberwolves vs Heat · Wed Oct 21 · 7:30 PM ET

23.5 PRA O -108U -122

Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 40%4/10 Odds imply 48.6% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 21.0
Graph median: 22.54.0–28.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Jaden McDaniels pts + reb + ast by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 23.5.

Splits all logged games · over 23.5

Home 48% 20/42 · avg 22.3
Away 49% 21/43 · avg 22.0
vs Heat 50% 1/2 · avg 17.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 19.5 60% 6/10
O 21.5 60% 6/10
O 23.5 Today 40% 4/10
O 25.5 30% 3/10
O 27.5 10% 1/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	PRA	vs 23.5	Close
2026-05-12	@ Spurs	25	Over	—
2026-05-06	@ Spurs	19	Under	—
2026-05-04	@ Spurs	23	Under	—
2026-04-27	@ Nuggets	17	Under	—
2026-04-20	@ Nuggets	19	Under	—
2026-04-18	@ Nuggets	27	Over	—
2026-04-10	@ Rockets	26	Over	—
2026-04-08	@ Magic	22	Under	—
2026-03-22	@ Celtics	28	Over	—
2026-03-15	@ Thunder	4	Under	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 23.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 4m ago.