NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Paul Reed F

Pistons vs Celtics · Tue Oct 20 · 3:00 PM ET

14.5 PRA O -133U -112

Hit rate · Last 10 40%4/10 Odds imply 51.9% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 16.8
Graph median: 14.09.0–35.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Paul Reed pts + reb + ast by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 14.5.

Splits all logged games · over 14.5

Home 38% 13/34 · avg 12.9
Away 46% 17/37 · avg 14.8
vs Celtics No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 12.5 60% 6/10
O 13.5 60% 6/10
O 14.5 Today 40% 4/10
O 15.5 40% 4/10
O 16.5 40% 4/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · Forwards vs Celtics

What Celtics allowed to Forwards per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 30 defenses.

Pts19.1#20
Reb5.9#27
Ast3.4#23
3PM3.3#9

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	PRA	vs 14.5	Close
2026-05-17	vs Cavaliers	9	Under	—
2026-05-15	@ Cavaliers	24	Over	—
2026-05-13	vs Cavaliers	19	Over	—
2026-05-11	@ Cavaliers	21	Over	—
2026-05-09	@ Cavaliers	14	Under	—
2026-05-01	@ Magic	12	Under	—
2026-04-25	@ Magic	9	Under	—
2026-04-12	@ Pacers	35	Over	—
2026-04-10	@ Hornets	11	Under	—
2026-04-08	vs Bucks	14	Under	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 14.5Underdog 19.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 2m ago.