NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

LaMelo Ball

Timberwolves vs Heat · Wed Oct 21 · 7:30 PM ET

33.5 PRA O -114U -115

Hit rate · Last 10 · vs Heat 75%3/4 Odds imply 49.9% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 39.8
Graph median: 41.028.0–49.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

LaMelo Ball pts + reb + ast by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 33.5.

Splits all logged games · over 33.5

Home 36% 13/36 · avg 31.8
Away 40% 15/38 · avg 32.5
vs Heat 75% 3/4 · avg 39.8

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 29.5 75% 3/4
O 31.5 75% 3/4
O 33.5 Today 75% 3/4
O 35.5 75% 3/4
O 37.5 50% 2/4

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 4 games

Date	Opp	PRA	vs 33.5	Close
2026-04-14	vs Heat	45	Over	—
2026-03-17	vs Heat	49	Over	—
2026-03-06	vs Heat	28	Under	—
2025-10-28	@ Heat	37	Over	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 33.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 4m ago.