NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

LaMelo Ball

Timberwolves vs Heat · Wed Oct 21 · 7:30 PM ET

33.5 PRA O -114U -115

Hit rate · Last 10 40%4/10 Odds imply 49.9% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 35.7
Graph median: 32.526.0–47.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

LaMelo Ball pts + reb + ast by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 33.5.

Splits all logged games · over 33.5

Home 36% 13/36 · avg 31.8
Away 40% 15/38 · avg 32.5
vs Heat 75% 3/4 · avg 39.8

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 29.5 80% 8/10
O 31.5 60% 6/10
O 33.5 Today 40% 4/10
O 35.5 40% 4/10
O 37.5 40% 4/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	PRA	vs 33.5	Close
2026-04-17	@ Magic	30	Under	—
2026-04-14	vs Heat	45	Over	—
2026-04-12	@ Knicks	32	Under	—
2026-04-10	vs Pistons	40	Over	—
2026-04-07	@ Celtics	47	Over	—
2026-04-05	@ Timberwolves	46	Over	—
2026-04-03	vs Pacers	33	Under	—
2026-04-02	vs Suns	28	Under	—
2026-03-31	@ Nets	30	Under	—
2026-03-29	vs Celtics	26	Under	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 33.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 7m ago.