NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Davion Mitchell

Heat vs Timberwolves · Wed Oct 21 · 7:30 PM ET

8.5 Pts O -122U -105

Hit rate · Last 10 90%9/10 Odds imply 51.8% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 13.1
Graph median: 12.02.0–28.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Davion Mitchell points by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 8.5.

Splits all logged games · over 8.5

Home 66% 23/35 · avg 9.9
Away 53% 19/36 · avg 9.4
vs Timberwolves 50% 1/2 · avg 9.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 6.5 90% 9/10
O 7.5 90% 9/10
O 8.5 Today 90% 9/10
O 9.5 70% 7/10
O 10.5 70% 7/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Pts	vs 8.5	Close
2026-04-14	@ Hornets	28	Over	—
2026-04-12	vs Hawks	12	Over	—
2026-04-09	@ Raptors	15	Over	—
2026-04-07	@ Raptors	9	Over	—
2026-04-04	vs Wizards	12	Over	—
2026-04-01	vs Celtics	21	Over	—
2026-03-30	vs 76ers	9	Over	—
2026-03-29	@ Pacers	12	Over	—
2026-03-27	@ Cavaliers	2	Under	—
2026-03-25	@ Cavaliers	11	Over	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 8.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 3m ago.