NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Ausar Thompson

Pistons vs Celtics · Tue Oct 20 · 3:00 PM ET

9.5 Pts O -128U +100

Hit rate · Last 10 · Home 40%4/10 Odds imply 52.9% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 8.2
Graph median: 8.05.0–11.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Ausar Thompson points by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 9.5.

Splits all logged games · over 9.5

Home 52% 22/42 · avg 10.0
Away 40% 18/45 · avg 9.3
vs Celtics 25% 1/4 · avg 10.8

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 7.5 60% 6/10
O 8.5 40% 4/10
O 9.5 Today 40% 4/10
O 10.5 20% 2/10
O 11.5 0% 0/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Pts	vs 9.5	Close
2026-05-17	vs Cavaliers	5	Under	—
2026-05-13	vs Cavaliers	6	Under	—
2026-05-07	vs Cavaliers	10	Over	—
2026-05-05	vs Cavaliers	11	Over	—
2026-05-03	vs Magic	8	Under	—
2026-04-29	vs Magic	6	Under	—
2026-04-22	vs Magic	11	Over	—
2026-04-19	vs Magic	8	Under	—
2026-04-08	vs Bucks	10	Over	—
2026-04-02	vs Timberwolves	7	Under	—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 9.5PrizePicks 10

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: FanDuel, updated 3m ago.