NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Jabari Smith Jr.

Rockets vs Mavericks · Wed Oct 21 · 8:30 PM ET

12.5 Pts O -121U -105

Hit rate · Last 10 · Home 80%8/10 Odds imply 51.7% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 16.5
Graph median: 16.09.0–24.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Jabari Smith Jr. points by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 12.5.

Splits all logged games · over 12.5

Home 76% 31/41 · avg 16.3
Away 76% 32/42 · avg 15.5
vs Mavericks 67% 2/3 · avg 16.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 10.5 90% 9/10
O 11.5 90% 9/10
O 12.5 Today 80% 8/10
O 13.5 70% 7/10
O 14.5 70% 7/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Pts	vs 12.5	Close
2026-05-01	vs Lakers	9	Under	—
2026-04-26	vs Lakers	16	Over	—
2026-04-24	vs Lakers	24	Over	—
2026-04-10	vs Timberwolves	16	Over	—
2026-04-09	vs 76ers	19	Over	—
2026-04-03	vs Jazz	18	Over	—
2026-04-01	vs Bucks	12	Under	—
2026-03-31	vs Knicks	15	Over	—
2026-03-21	vs Heat	13	Over	—
2026-03-20	vs Hawks	23	Over	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 12.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 7m ago.