NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Jaden McDaniels

Timberwolves vs Heat · Wed Oct 21 · 7:30 PM ET

15.5 Pts O -114U -112

Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 60%6/10 Odds imply 50.2% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 14.3
Graph median: 16.02.0–19.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Jaden McDaniels points by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 15.5.

Splits all logged games · over 15.5

Home 50% 21/42 · avg 15.1
Away 49% 21/43 · avg 14.9
vs Heat 50% 1/2 · avg 12.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 11.5 90% 9/10
O 13.5 70% 7/10
O 15.5 Today 60% 6/10
O 17.5 20% 2/10
O 19.5 0% 0/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Pts	vs 15.5	Close
2026-05-12	@ Spurs	17	Over	—
2026-05-06	@ Spurs	12	Under	—
2026-05-04	@ Spurs	16	Over	—
2026-04-27	@ Nuggets	13	Under	—
2026-04-20	@ Nuggets	14	Under	—
2026-04-18	@ Nuggets	16	Over	—
2026-04-10	@ Rockets	16	Over	—
2026-04-08	@ Magic	18	Over	—
2026-03-22	@ Celtics	19	Over	—
2026-03-15	@ Thunder	2	Under	—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 14.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 7m ago.