NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Heat vs Timberwolves · Wed Oct 21 · 7:30 PM ET

9.5 Pts O -120U -106

Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 70%7/10 Odds imply 51.5% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 12.2
Graph median: 11.01.0–28.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Tim Hardaway Jr. points by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 9.5.

Splits all logged games · over 9.5

Home 66% 29/44 · avg 12.9
Away 76% 32/42 · avg 13.7
vs Timberwolves 80% 8/10 · avg 14.1

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 7.5 70% 7/10
O 8.5 70% 7/10
O 9.5 Today 70% 7/10
O 10.5 60% 6/10
O 11.5 40% 4/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Pts	vs 9.5	Close
2026-04-30	@ Timberwolves	13	Over	—
2026-04-25	@ Timberwolves	10	Over	—
2026-04-23	@ Timberwolves	11	Over	—
2026-04-01	@ Jazz	3	Under	—
2026-03-24	@ Suns	18	Over	—
2026-03-18	@ Grizzlies	11	Over	—
2026-03-14	@ Lakers	20	Over	—
2026-03-12	@ Spurs	1	Under	—
2026-03-09	@ Thunder	28	Over	—
2026-03-02	@ Jazz	7	Under	—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 9.5PrizePicks 9.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 3m ago.