NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Chet Holmgren

Thunder vs Spurs · Tue Oct 20 · 9:30 PM ET

12.5 Pts O -122U -108

Hit rate · Last 10 60%6/10 Odds imply 51.4% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 13.1
Graph median: 13.54.0–22.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Chet Holmgren points by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 12.5.

Splits all logged games · over 12.5

Home 76% 32/42 · avg 16.8
Away 71% 30/42 · avg 16.7
vs Spurs 36% 4/11 · avg 10.6

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 10.5 60% 6/10
O 11.5 60% 6/10
O 12.5 Today 60% 6/10
O 13.5 50% 5/10
O 14.5 40% 4/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Pts	vs 12.5	Close
2026-05-30	vs Spurs	4	Under	—
2026-05-28	@ Spurs	10	Under	—
2026-05-26	vs Spurs	16	Over	—
2026-05-24	@ Spurs	10	Under	—
2026-05-22	@ Spurs	14	Over	—
2026-05-20	vs Spurs	13	Over	—
2026-05-18	vs Spurs	8	Under	—
2026-05-11	@ Lakers	16	Over	—
2026-05-09	@ Lakers	18	Over	—
2026-05-07	vs Lakers	22	Over	—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 14.5PrizePicks 12.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: FanDuel, updated 3m ago.