NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Ace Bailey

Jazz vs Grizzlies · Wed Oct 21 · 8:00 PM ET

9.5 Pts O -130U +100

Hit rate · Last 10 · vs Grizzlies 75%3/4 Odds imply 53.1% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 17.0
Graph median: 18.58.0–23.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Ace Bailey points by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 9.5.

Splits all logged games · over 9.5

Home 81% 30/37 · avg 15.6
Away 60% 21/35 · avg 11.8
vs Grizzlies 75% 3/4 · avg 17.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 7.5 100% 4/4
O 8.5 75% 3/4
O 9.5 Today 75% 3/4
O 10.5 75% 3/4
O 11.5 75% 3/4

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 4 games

Date	Opp	Pts	vs 9.5	Close
2026-04-10	vs Grizzlies	23	Over	—
2026-02-20	@ Grizzlies	20	Over	—
2025-12-23	vs Grizzlies	17	Over	—
2025-12-12	@ Grizzlies	8	Under	—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 9.5PrizePicks 9.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: Fanatics, updated 7m ago.