NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Ace Bailey

Jazz vs Grizzlies · Wed Oct 21 · 8:00 PM ET

9.5 Pts O -130U +100

Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 80%8/10 Odds imply 53.1% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 15.7
Graph median: 14.58.0–32.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Ace Bailey points by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 9.5.

Splits all logged games · over 9.5

Home 81% 30/37 · avg 15.6
Away 60% 21/35 · avg 11.8
vs Grizzlies 75% 3/4 · avg 17.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 7.5 100% 10/10
O 8.5 90% 9/10
O 9.5 Today 80% 8/10
O 10.5 80% 8/10
O 11.5 80% 8/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Pts	vs 9.5	Close
2026-04-12	@ Lakers	15	Over	—
2026-04-05	@ Thunder	14	Over	—
2026-04-03	@ Rockets	22	Over	—
2026-03-28	@ Suns	13	Over	—
2026-03-27	@ Nuggets	15	Over	—
2026-03-18	@ Timberwolves	17	Over	—
2026-03-13	@ Trail Blazers	8	Under	—
2026-03-07	@ Bucks	9	Under	—
2026-03-05	@ Wizards	32	Over	—
2026-03-04	@ 76ers	12	Over	—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 9.5PrizePicks 9.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: Fanatics, updated 7m ago.