NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Aaron Nesmith

Pacers vs Pelicans · Wed Oct 21 · 8:00 PM ET

12.5 Pts O -106U -121

Hit rate · Last 10 · vs Pelicans 0%0/1 Odds imply 48.4% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 12.0
Graph median: 12.012.0–12.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Aaron Nesmith points by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 12.5.

Splits all logged games · over 12.5

Home 53% 10/19 · avg 14.2
Away 50% 13/26 · avg 13.5
vs Pelicans 0% 0/1 · avg 12.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 10.5 100% 1/1
O 11.5 100% 1/1
O 12.5 Today 0% 0/1
O 13.5 0% 0/1
O 14.5 0% 0/1

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 1 game

Date	Opp	Pts	vs 12.5	Close
2026-01-16	vs Pelicans	12	Under	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 12.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 7m ago.