NBA Prop Research

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Game logs through Jun 13, 2026 · 239 players

Aaron Nesmith

Pacers vs Pelicans ·

12.5 Pts O -106U -121
Hit rate · Last 10 70%7/10 Odds imply 48.4% Over
Season avg
—
Graph avg
17.5
Graph median
14.55.0–32.0
2026-27 per game
Pts—
Reb—
Ast—
3PM—
Stl—
Blk—
Over 12.5 in 3 straight
Aaron Nesmith points by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 12.5.
12.5
  1. 2025-26
    9
  2. 29
  3. 12
  4. 32
  5. 14
  6. 15
  7. 5
  8. 19
  9. 14
  10. 26
  11. ?

Splits all logged games · over 12.5

  • Home 53% 10/19 · avg 14.2
  • Away 50% 13/26 · avg 13.5
  • vs Pelicans 0% 0/1 · avg 12.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 10.5 80% 8/10
  • O 11.5 80% 8/10
  • O 12.5 Today 70% 7/10
  • O 13.5 70% 7/10
  • O 14.5 50% 5/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 10 games

DateOppPtsvs 12.5Close
2026-03-27vs Clippers26Over—
2026-03-25vs Lakers14Over—
2026-03-23@ Magic19Over—
2026-03-21@ Spurs5Under—
2026-03-18vs Trail Blazers15Over—
2026-03-17@ Knicks14Over—
2026-03-15@ Bucks32Over—
2026-03-13vs Knicks12Under—
2026-03-10@ Kings29Over—
2026-03-08@ Trail Blazers9Under—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 12.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 7m ago.